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Fact or Opinion?
You look at the little display on the A/C thermostat at your home, which reads 78 degrees, and you think, “what a pleasantly warm day.” Your wife just gets back home from grocery shopping, looks at the thermostat, and says: “Oh my God, it’s 78, don’t you think it’s too hot here? Why didn’t you…
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How Reliable Are Election Polls?
I will provide, below, a brief and very basic introduction to the main concepts involved in the polling process, to setup the stage for the main point I would like to make in the last few paragraphs. If you are familiar with statistics and probability theory, you are encouraged to skip to the last few…